Wednesday, October 28, 2026
Science

Election forecasters lack historical data on how national mood drives each senate race, study shows

U.S. Senate races are increasingly decided by national forces rather than state-level politics or incumbency advantage. That makes election forecasts less certain than they appear, according to a new study in PS: Political Science & Politics by researchers at the University of California, Davis, and...

Election forecasters lack historical data on how national mood drives each senate race, study shows
Image: Phys.org
U.S. Senate races are increasingly decided by national forces rather than state-level politics or incumbency advantage. That makes election forecasts less certain than they appear, according to a new study in PS: Political Science & Politics by researchers at the University of California, Davis, and George Mason University.

Originally published at Phys.org

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